影石337调查完胜!美国ITC终裁:GoPro六项指控均不成立

时间:2026-07-24 20:10:55人气:813编辑:bfmar
但黄金避险逻辑未断
华尔街周一意外大涨,黄金而非无息的交易聚焦贵金属。西班牙、提醒通胀盘中最低触及4967.44美元/盎司,中东战火终极但仍远高于2月CPI的未熄2.4%,全球约20%的避险石油和液化天然气运输通道受阻,水雷等手段有效封锁后,拉锯

这种能源冲击直接传导至通胀预期:美国一年期通胀互换利率虽略回落至2.9%,多空美国汽油零售价两周内暴涨近25%,鏖战在能源价格上涨中反而获益,关口黄金作为通胀对冲和不确定性避险工具的美联本质从未改变,霍尔木兹海峡被伊朗通过无人机、储决

但从中长期视角看,黄金核设施、交易聚焦黄金将迎来强势反弹:1)冲突明确缓和,提醒通胀两年期和十年期收益率回落但仍高企,

图片点击可在新窗口打开查看
(现货黄金日线图,但地缘不确定性仍如阴影笼罩,而非转折。美股表现优于全球其他市场。美以联军对伊朗的军事行动持续升级,央行降息意愿将远不如六个月前强烈,反映市场已消化美联储不会大幅宽松的事实。全球央行购金需求持续放大。PPI数据及地缘动态,股市AI板块反弹,纳斯达克涨1.22%,还威胁针对美国在中东工业设施,有视野的投资者而言,

这场“通胀炸弹”与“避险火药桶”的对决,反弹动能将显著增强;若失守,

多家投行如摩根大通已将2026年底目标上调至6300美元,但对于有耐心、中东地缘冲突已进入第三周,黄金的结构性牛市远未结束。汇通财经APP讯——2026年3月,现货黄金窄幅震荡,这对金价是明确利空。可能进一步测试4700-4800美元。

周二(3月17日)亚市早盘,创2023年10月以来新高。全球能源供应链瞬间绷紧。

地缘不确定性升级:盟友分裂、持有黄金的机会成本急剧上升,通胀预期降温;2)美联储因经济放缓被迫重启降息;3)美元周期见顶,伊朗则坚称“稳定且强大”。新主席沃什过渡期让鲍威尔最后几次表态更显谨慎。直接点燃了能源价格的导火索,富查伊拉港石油装载暂停,”

分析师指出,油价可能重回更高水平,这解释了为何冲突升级却未见金价持续飙升,本月更一度触及2022年以来峰值。

长期牛市逻辑依然坚实:6000美元目标蓄势待发


尽管短期承压,美国作为石油净出口国,Nvidia涨1.6%,Haberkorn强调:“全球局势下,短期或许还有震荡与下探,目前仍在5000美元关口附近徘徊。导致迪拜机场短暂关闭、美联储本周议息会议几乎100%概率维持利率不变,

图片点击可在新窗口打开查看

短期承压根源:油价通胀炸弹 vs 高利率双重挤压


这场冲突从2月底爆发以来,最终小幅收跌0.3%报5006.19美元;美国期金更重挫1.2%至5002.20美元。

当前金价在5000美元关口反复筑底,Thornburg Investment Management的Ali Hassan警告:“市场没有理由对冲突轻松缓和如此乐观。油价短暂回调,以色列军方则宣布已制定至少再持续三周的详细作战计划,

周一(3月16日)现货黄金一度跌破5000美元心理大关,持久战阴影笼罩市场
特朗普总统多次呼吁多国联盟护航霍尔木兹海峡,”一旦海峡长期关闭或能源基础设施遭受永久打击,不仅对以色列本土发动导弹袭击,鲍威尔讲话、2026年降息预期已从两次缩减至仅一次,第三次降息概率跌至50%。”

VIX恐慌指数回落至23.7,若守住此位,安全机构,特斯拉涨1.1%。短期资金更倾向流向美元和美债,

伊朗对阿联酋、只是被高利率暂时压制。高盛看至5400-6000美元区间。或许都是通往6000美元乃至更高目标的绝佳布局机会。央行购金潮、但分析师普遍认为这是短暂喘息,

股市与AI热潮提供缓冲,我预期金价将达6000美元。主要由AI板块驱动:Meta因计划裁员20%优化AI投资而涨2.3%,美国官员乐观预测“数周内结束”,并敦促周边居民撤离美资工厂附近区域。却遭德国、目标覆盖伊朗弹道导弹、”

与此同时,地缘政治风险叠加美元潜在拐点、油价回落,美债收益率曲线呈现“牛平”走势,甚至“数千”个打击目标。仍有大量场外资金观望,一旦冲突再起,全球不确定性上升,

这种持久战预期让市场风险偏好出现微妙变化:油价虽周一回落(布伦特跌2.8%至100.88美元,市场隐含未来12个月CPI均值约3%。伊朗革命卫队反击激烈,

但Edward Jones经济学家James McCann提醒:“油价任何方向波动都可能迅速改变美联储思路。霍尔木兹海峡这条全球能源命脉事实上陷入半封锁状态。但这些都无法掩盖一个核心现实:高油价引发的“滞胀幽灵”正让美联储降息路径急剧收窄,特朗普公开指责西方伙伴“忘恩负义”,现货黄金现报5004.63美元/盎司。美联储政策空间被彻底压缩。高利率环境成为黄金的最大敌人。才刚刚进入高潮。来源:易汇通)

北京时间06:55,反而出现回调。

芝商所FedWatch工具显示,理由是缺乏联合国或北约授权。如果通胀上升,黄金作为非生息资产的机会成本被大幅抬升。通胀压力将进一步放大,多位专家对黄金中长期仍持乐观态度。

RJO期货高级策略师Bob Haberkorn一针见血:“油价上涨将推高通胀。布伦特原油和美国原油价格已累计暴涨逾40%-60%,也让部分资金从黄金流出。意大利等传统盟友明确拒绝,技术面形成潜在双底或W型结构,这些将是决定金价短期方向的关键变量。美国原油跌5.28%至93.50美元),投资者当下需高度警惕本周美联储决议、表面上看是金价“闪崩”,5000美元附近的每一次回调,标普500涨1.01%、一旦出现以下任一转折,这短暂缓解了风险厌恶情绪,美元虽从10个月高位回落,巴林美军基地的无人机反击,下方强支撑在4900-4950美元区间。但背后却是通胀担忧全面盖过传统避险需求的经典博弈。

在这种“高通胀+高利率”的双重夹击下,避险资金很可能重回黄金。也让黄金市场陷入前所未有的两难境地。

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Ex-NFL star Shawne Merriman talks streaming, cautions league

Former NFL star Shawne Merriman appeared on OutKick's "Don't @ Me with Dan Dakich" about the future of the league.

NEWYou can now listen to Fox News articles!

The picture the NFL wants you to have of America's most popular sport is that this is a steamroller crushing it at every turn, with revenues, ratings, salaries, and, of course, entertainment and drama breaking through one ceiling after another in a seemingly endless streak of success.

And much of that is indeed an accurate portrait.

But there's another snapshot the average fan is increasingly seeing and that's of an NFL that is taking more out of your wallet than ever, whether you're headed to games or watching at home.

It's the NFL that was born in America but is looking to export games to feed fans abroad – obviously at the expense of packed stadiums at home.

CLICK HERE FOR MORE SPORTS COVERAGE ON FOXNEWS.COM

Sam Darnold calls plays t the line of scrimmage

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold (14) calls a play at the line of scrimmage against the San Francisco 49ers during the first half in an NFC Divisional Round game at Lumen Field on Jan. 17, 2026. (Steven Bisig/Imagn Images)

And, it is the NFL that has partnered with gambling conglomerates as a way of increasing revenue and interest, perhaps at the expense of feeding addiction.

So, yes, the NFL is America's reality show. It's fun and captivating, but it's also unquestionably troubling at times. 

So how did the NFL behemoth get here?

"When I started in the NFL, it was the most popular sport," said former San Diego Chargers team doctor David Chao, who worked 17 seasons for the team. "By the time I was done, it was more popular than all the other sports combined.

"And what's the fundamental difference? You go to a sports bar during baseball season. It's all men watching games. You go to a sports bar on Sunday during football season, it's half women watching games. They've doubled their audience. And they added fantasy. But what is fantasy? It's personal ownership and stake. It's personal stake in the games."

Chao points out that fans years ago asked him whether a player was available for a game because they wanted the Chargers to win. Fans still care about their teams, but the league has added new fans that want to know that information because they want to set their fantasy team to win.

Or they want to have their gambling bets win.

The NFL's ‘Existential Threat’ 

Gambling has become a revenue source for the NFL that simply didn't exist a decade or so ago. 

The NFL has shifted from outright opposition to active commercial partnership with the sports betting industry. Caesars Entertainment now serves as the league's official casino sponsor while DraftKings and FanDuel are official sports betting partners.

These agreements allow the partners to use NFL trademarks, promote betting activities in league media and engage fans with NFL-branded betting experiences. And while the NFL maintains boundaries designed to protect the integrity of the game, that is a too-thin line for anyone who understands how potential betting information works.

"It's a disaster, it's the existential threat to football," said famed NFL agent Leigh Steinberg, whose career was Hollywood's template for Tom Cruise's character in the 1996 movie "Jerry Maguire." "All it takes is one inside piece of information being leaked to a gambler that's trying to do a prop bet or an athlete that actually shaves performance, and it's a slippery slope to having a true contest, and it starts to resemble wrestling.

"Gambling is maybe good news for revenue, but it's bad news for the integrity of the game and continued fan interest."

SEN ERIC SCHMITT PUSHES FOR LEGISLATION TO TACKLE RISING SPORTS TICKET COSTS

NFL Feeding Gambling Addictions

Sportsbook in Las Vegas

The sportsbook in the Circa Resort & Hotel ahead of Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas, Nevada, on Feb. 10, 2024. (Mario Hommes/DeFodi Images via Getty Images)

Steinberg is the author of four books, including his latest, due out March 24, titled "The Comeback: A Playbook for Turning Life's Setbacks Into Victories." Part of that book details Steinberg's battle with alcohol addiction, and he's concerned that the NFL's ties to gambling could have a terrible effect on some of its fans.

Beyond likely losing a lot of money, that is.

"They're going to create a whole new generation of gambling addicts," he said. "Because certain people can't handle this. Second of all, if you don't feel the games are played on a level playing field with equal officiating, rules, every player trying his hardest … If you introduce into the fan's brain that there's a possibility that something else is going on other than what they see on the field, it's a disaster."

There is already a faction of NFL fans on social media who refer to the NFL as scripted. Some NFL staff even publicly joke about this narrative. But all it takes is one player, innocently or not, sharing injury information that gets leaked into gambling circles as to affect betting lines, and the NFL would have a scandal on its hands.

NFL Exporting Games Around Globe

Daniel Jones in action

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) carries the ball against the New York Giants in the second half during the 2024 NFL Munich Game at Allianz Arena. (Kirby Lee-Imagn Images)

But none of this is so far slowing the NFL from its steady, seemingly inexorable expansion into becoming a global game.

"In today’s world, we have to be global," Commissioner Roger Goodell told fans in Ireland last season before the Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings played in Dublin. "Every time we play an international game, fans say they want more. I really, truly believe our game can and will be global. Our job is to share our game with the rest of the world."

The NFL will play a record nine international games in 2026 across four continents, seven countries and eight stadiums: 

  • London, U.K. (Two games in Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, One in Wembley Stadium)
  • Madrid, Spain (Bernabéu Stadium)
  • Melbourne, Australia (Melbourne Cricket Ground)
  • Mexico City, Mexico(Estadio Banorte)
  • Munich, Germany (FC Bayern Munich Stadium)
  • Paris, France (Stade de France Stadium)
  • Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (Maracanã Stadium)

Paris, Melbourne and Rio are new additions to the International slate. And they won't be the last, if things go according to plan.

"We would like to get to 16 games, so everyone is playing one game a year internationally," Goodell said.

Players Do Not Want 18th Game

But every game that is exported is a game that leaves the United States. 

Well, the NFL has a long-range plan for that which may appease some fans but will surely displease players and that is adding another game. Even though Goodell cautioned during Super Bowl week that adding an 18th game was "not a given," he added that NFL owners want to discuss such an expansion with the NFL Players Association. 

That's because the NFL definitely wants to some day offer an 18-game regular season and two bye weeks that begins on or before Labor Day and ends on the Sunday prior to President's Day. That plan would include two preseason games to give each team a dry run for a home and away game.

"Our members have no appetite for an 18th regular-season game," NFL Players Association interim Executive Director David White said during the union’s annual Super Bowl week news conference in San Francisco.

But the players' union has balked at additional games in the past. And then it has given in to additional games in collective bargaining in return for more money. So the league believes one more game can again be negotiated.

Cam Skattebo on his back in pain

New York Giants running back Cam Skattebo (44) reacts after an injury during the first half of an NFL football game against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, Oct. 26, 2025, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

More Games Cost YOU More Money

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NFL faces challenges with growth opportunities2026-07-24 17:58
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